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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$381.6K vol.
99%
October 3190%
September 30Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.4M vol.
4%
December 312%
September 309.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$307.4K vol.
8%
Yes95%
NoMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$200.1K vol.
12%
Yes89%
NoLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.5M vol.
59%
SpaceX44%
AnthropicMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$144.1K vol.
11%
Yes92%
No10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$811.1K vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoWill the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$10.6K vol.
17%
Yes84%
NoFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$47.7K vol.
69%
December 31, 202712%
June 30, 2027How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$2.8K vol.
44%
Fewer than 2041%
20 to 34Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
68%
127%
2How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
$20.1K vol.
99%
15%
2Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k95%
↑3.5kHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$502.9K vol.
70%
<539%
5-6Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$7.6K vol.
77%
<425mm46%
475-500mmNatural Disaster in 2026?
$241.7K vol.
30%
Yes73%
NoHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$5.1K vol.
50%
80-9942%
100–119Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?
$1.8K vol.
89%
October 31, 202644%
September 30, 2026August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$3.3K vol.
63%
1.42–1.45ºC52%
1.38–1.41ºCRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
$11.5K vol.
9%
Yes92%
NoPrecipitation in Seattle in August?
$232 vol.
96%
<0.5"19%
0.5-1"Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$3.2K vol.
18%
December 31, 20268%
October 31, 2026August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$14.1K vol.
100%
>1.29ºC1%
1.25–1.29ºCHow many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
$4.3K vol.
84%
1320%
14