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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$62M vol.
95%
No change5%
25 bps increase
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.8M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)
Fed Decision in December?
$4.5M vol.
75%
25 bps increase21%
No change
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1M vol.
76%
Yes26%
No
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$227.2K vol.
73%
Below 4.70%70%
Below 4.65%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1M vol.
40%
5.3%24%
5.4%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$187.5K vol.
67%
Below 5.25%55%
Below 5.20%
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$457.3K vol.
76%
Hike–Pause–Hike22%
Hike–Pause–Pause
Fed Decision in January?
$896.8K vol.
69%
No change29%
25 bps increase
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$263.7K vol.
71%
5.40%59%
5.50%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
77%
↑ 4.25%10%
↑ 4.5%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$153.3K vol.
100%
4.80%77%
4.90%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$434K vol.
87%
Below 4.9%77%
Below 4.8%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$24.1K vol.
74%
Below 4.60%53%
Below 4.50%
Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting45%
April 2027 Meeting
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$34.8K vol.
30%
227%
0
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$34.1K vol.
71%
Below 4.95%36%
Below 4.90%
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
70%
4.25%22%
4.0%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$24.7K vol.
79%
4.75%72%
4.80%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$71.6K vol.
60%
Pause-Hike-Pause18%
Pause-Hike-Hike
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$37.1K vol.
45%
026%
1
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$17.9K vol.
33%
4.89%31%
4.86%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$23K vol.
6%
5.70%6%
6.00%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$35.1K vol.
10%
5.32%6%
5.35%
